Upper Midwest Environmental Sciences Center
 August 2016 Activity Highlights
Upper Midwest Environmental Sciences Center 
La Crosse, Wisconsin
Topics covered in the August activity report.
- Collaborative Partner Activities
- Vegetation Mapping: Great Smokey Mountains
- Undergraduate Research Experiences
- eDNA and Informatics Discussions with the Mayo Clinic
- Media
- Electronic Methods to Track Bird Movements
- Common Loon Research and Conservation
- Publications
- Short-term climate variability predicts species occurrence as well or better than long-term climate means
- Extreme heat and other climate extremes are expected to be the norm by mid- to late-century
- Stakeholder-led science: engaging resource managers to identify science needs for long-term management of floodplain conservation lands
- Scientific Meetings, Conferences, and Workshops
- American Fisheries Society’s Annual Meeting
- Joint Statistical Meetings
- North American Ornithological Conference
- University of Wisconsin-Eau Claire Geospatial Workshop
- Managing Science Data: SciDataCon 2016
- Acronyms
Collaborative Partner Activities
Vegetation  Mapping: Great Smokey Mountains 
  Andrew  Strassman, Kevin Hop, Erin Hoy (UMESC), Rickie White (NatureServe), Tom  Remaley, Troy Evans, Rob Klein and other Great Smoky Mountain (GRSM) National  Park staff  conducted field  reconnaissance and mapping verification of the vegetation within the North  Carolina-side of GRSM National Park, for the Great Smoky Mountains National  Park Vegetation Mapping Project, August 15-26, 2016.  Field work encompassed the entire North  Carolina side of the park, will involve the comparison of aerial imagery  signatures to ground conditions while simultaneously testing the key to  vegetation for functionality and consistency, and included the testing of an  initial mapping classification and draft vegetation mapping of selected  sections of the park.  The GRSM mapping  project is associated with the National Park Service’s Vegetation Mapping  Inventory (VMI) Program (Andrew Strassman, astrassman@usgs.gov, Ecosystems).
Undergraduate  Research Experiences
  Richard  Erickson (UMESC) and Eric Eager (UW-La Crosse) mentored 4 undergraduates  through a National Science Foundation funded Mathematical Biology Research Experience  for Undergraduates (REU) at the University of Wisconsin-La Crosse. Broadly, the  students examined population models used for assessing the impacts of wind  energy on the federally endangered Indiana bat. The students specifically  analyzed branching process models, potential biological removal models, and  matrix population models. The students presented the results from their  research as posters during the University of Wisconsin-La Crosse Summer Undergraduate  Research Symposium, August 4, 2016.  They  are also working on several manuscripts for publication in peer reviewed  journals.  The posters were also shared  with Jennifer Syzmanski (USFWS, Endangered Species Program), August 11,  2016.  Syzmanski uses the same types of models  in USFWS Region 3 endangered species management projects (Richard Erickson, rerickson@usgs.gov, Ecosystems).
- Demographic Modeling of an Indiana Bat Population Subject to Wind-Energy Stress, by Sarah Oldfield (University of the South), Tiffany Tu (George Washington University), Humza Haider (University of Minnesota-Morris), Rosa Moreno (California State University Islands), Eric A. Eager (University of Wisconsin-La Crosse), and Richard A. Erickson (UMESC).
- PBR Modeling and Analysis of the Indiana Bat Population, by Humza Haider, Rosa Moreno, Sarah Oldfield, Tiffany Tu, Eric A. Eager, and Richard A. Erickson
eDNA  and Informatics Discussions with the Mayo Clinic
  Richard  Erickson, Jon Amberg, and Grace McCalla (UMESC) met with Jaime Davila (Mayo  Clinic) August 23, 2016, in Rochester, MN, to discuss research overlaps and  potential future collaborations between the eDNA based informatics research conducted  at UMESC, and medical based informatics at the Mayo Clinic (Richard Erickson, rerickson@usgs.gov, Ecosystems).
Media
Electronic  Methods to Track Bird Movements 
  Kevin  Kenow (UMESC) provided information about the use of archival geolocator tags to  document common loon migration and foraging patterns to Jim Williams from the  Minneapolis StarTribune, July 28, 2016. Williams prepared a column discussing  electronic methods of tracking bird movement and behavior.  Williams’s birding blog is available at, http://startribune.com/Wingnut (Kevin Kenow, kkenow@usgs.gov, Ecosystems).
Common  Loon Research and Conservation 
  Minneapolis  StarTribune outdoors writer Tony Kennedy and staff photographer Aaron Lavinsky  accompanied Kevin Kenow, Steve Houdek (UMESC), and Lori Naumann (MN DNR) during  common loon night capture work on the Whitewater Chain of Lakes near Pequot  Lakes, MN, August 9, 2016,.  The news  crew prepared a story on common loon research and how the effort relates to  loon conservation efforts in Minnesota. The story appeared in the September 4th  edition of the Minneapolis StarTribune (Kevin Kenow, kkenow@usgs.gov, Ecosystems).
Publications
Short-term  Climate Variability Predicts Species Occurrence as well or better than Long-term  Climate Means 
  Wayne  Thogmartin (UMESC) and colleagues from the University of Wisconsin-Madison,  James Cook University, University of Nevada-Reno, Stony Brook University, U.S.  Forest Service, and U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service developed species  distribution models based on either short-term variability or long-term average  climate covariates for 320 bird species in the conterminous U.S., and tested  whether life-history trait-based guilds were particularly sensitive to  short-term conditions. Models including short-term climate variability  performed as well (cross-validated AUC score = 0.85) as models using long-term  climate averages (0.84). Similarly, both models performed well compared to  independent presence/absence data from the North American Breeding Bird Survey  (independent AUC of 0.89 and 0.90, respectively). However, models based on  short-term variability covariates more accurately classified true absences for  most species (73% of true absences classified within the lowest quarter of  environmental suitability versus 68%). Models comprised of short-term climate  covariates can reveal the dynamic relationship between species and their  environment because they capture the spatial fluctuations of species potential  breeding distributions. With this information managers can identify which  species and guilds are sensitive to climate variability, identify sites of high  conservation value where climate variability is low, and assess how species’  potential distributions may have already shifted due recent climate change. The  paper is available online, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/eap.1416/full  (Wayne Thogmartin, wthogmartin@usgs.gov, Ecosystems).
- Bateman, B.L., A.M. Pidgeon, V.C. Radeloff, C.H. Flather, J. VanDerWal, H.R. Akçakaya, W.E. Thogmartin, T.P. Albright, S.J. Vavrus, P.J. Heglund. 2016. Potential breeding distributions of U.S. birds predicted with short-term variability and long-term average climate data. Ecological Applications. DOI: 10.1002/eap.1416.
Extreme  Heat and other Climate Extremes are Expected to be the Norm by Mid- to Late-century 
Wayne  Thogmartin (UMESC) and colleagues from the University of Wisconsin-Madison and  U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service quantified future changes in the frequency of  extreme heat, drought, and false springs, during the avian breeding season, in  415 National Wildlife Refuges in the conterminous United States. Extreme heat  is projected to increase dramatically in all wildlife refuges, whereas changes  in droughts and false springs are projected to increase or decrease on a  regional basis. Extreme heat is expected to change in occurrence frequency from  once in about 20 years to once in every two or three years, irrespective of  region. Half of all wildlife refuges are projected to see increases in  frequency (>20% higher than the current rate) in at least two types of  weather extremes by mid-century. Wildlife refuges in the Southwest are  projected to exhibit the fastest rates of change. The paper is available  online, at http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0006320716302713 (Wayne Thogmartin, wthogmartin@usgs.gov, Ecosystems).
- Martinuzzi, S., A. J. Allstadt, B. L. Bateman, P. J. Heglund, A. M. Pidgeon, W. E. Thogmartin, S. J. Vavrus, and V. C. Radeloff. Future frequencies of extreme weather events in the National Wildlife Refuges of the conterminous U.S. Biological Conservation. Vol. 201:327-335. ISSN:0006-3207. DOI:10.1016/j.biocon.2016.07.007..
Stakeholder-Led  Science 
  Kristen  Bouska (UMESC) and colleagues at the University of Missouri and CERC surveyed  80 resource managers of floodplain conservation lands, to document their  management priorities and identify science needs.  The areas surveyed are highly dynamic  floodplain environments along the Upper and Middle Mississippi River, and Lower  Missouri River.  Although the problems  facing the managers of these lands are complex, a small suite of inundation  metrics were determined to be the most useful in guiding the decision making  process.  The paper is available online,  at http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol21/iss3/art12/ (Kristen Bouska, kbouska@usgs.gov, Ecosystems).
- Bouska, K.L., Lindner, G.A., Paukert, C.P., Jacobson, R.B. 2016. Stakeholder-led science: engaging resource managers to identify science needs for long-term management of floodplain conservation lands. Ecology and Society. 21(3):12. DOI:10.5751/ES-08620-210312.
Scientific Meetings, Conferences, and Workshops
American  Fisheries Society’s Annual Meeting 
  The  Upper Midwest Environmental Sciences Center (UMESC) made the following  contributions to the 146th Annual Meeting of the American Fisheries  Society, August 21-25, 2016, in Kansas City, MO (Randy Hines, rkhines@usgs.gov, Ecosystems)
  Oral Presentations
- An Examination of Costs and Benefits for Capturing Meaningful Hydro-Geomorphic Criteria for Aquatic Biota in Rivers, by Garth Lindner, Craig Paukert, Amanda Rosenberger, Robert B. Jacobson, Kristen Bouska, and Edward Bulliner.
- Assessing Movement of Adult Silver Carp and Bighead Carp in the Upper Illinois Waterway System Using GPS Satellite and Radio Telemetry, by Andrew Mathis, James T. Lamer, Brent Knights, and Kevin Irons.
- Bigheaded Carp Behavior and Bioacoustics, by Brooke J. Vetter, Kelsie A. Murchy, Jon J. Amberg, Robin D Calfee, Mark P. Gaikowski, and Allen F. Mensinger.
- Can resilience concepts improve management and restoration?, by Kristen Bouska, Jeff Houser, and Nathan De Jager.
- Current Status of Reproducing Populations of Grass Carp in the United States, by Duane Chapman, Amy E. George, Cari-Ann Hayer, Brent Knights, Patrick Kocovsky, James Larson, Jon Vallazza, and Gregory W. Whitledge.
- Development and Potential Use of Broad-Scale Inundation Metrics to Evaluate the Role of Floodplain Inundation on Fishes in the Lower Missouri River, by Kristen Bouska, Garth Lindner, Edward Bulliner, Craig P. Paukert, and Robert B. Jacobson.
- Evaluating Upstream Passage and Associated Movement Patterns of Adult Asian Carp at a Gated Dam on the Illinois River, by Matthew Lubejko, James E. Garvey, Marybeth K. Brey, and Gregory W. Whitledge.
- Go, Carp. Go!: Efficacy of Waterguns, Sound, and CO2 to Deter Bigheaded Carp, by Marybeth K. Brey, Aaron R. Cupp, Jon J. Amberg, Richard Erickson, Kelsie A. Murchy, Allen F. Mensinger, Tyson Hatton, and Nicholas Swyers.
- Larval Fish Communities Differ Among Great Lakes Rivermouths, by Jeffrey S. Schaeffer, Sara Friedline, Martha Carlson-Mazur, Jennifer Granneman, Natalie Goldstrohm, and James Larson.
- Potential Implications of Acoustic Stimuli As a Non-Physical Barrier to Silver (Hypophthalmichthys molitrix) and Bighead Carp (H. noblis), Kelsie A. Murchy, Aaron R. Cupp, Jon J. Amberg, Brooke J. Vetter, Kim T. Fredricks, Mark P. Gaikowski, and Allen F. Mensinger.
- Timing and Hydrological Conditions Associated with Bigheaded Carp Movement Past Navigation Dams on the Upper Mississippi River, by Jon Vallazza, Kyle Mosel, Ann Runstrom, James Larson, Neil Gillespie, and Brent Knights.
- Use of a Backwater Lake with Restored Lateral Hydrologic Connectivity By Invasive Bighead and Silver Carp, by Alison Coulter, Doug Schultz, Elizabeth Tristano, Marybeth K. Brey, and James E. Garvey.
Posters
- A Comparison of Fish Communities in Contiguous Backwater and Vegetated Impounded Areas of Pool 19, Upper Mississippi River, Eli Lampo, James T Lamer, Brent Knights, Jon Vallazza, and James Larson.
- Quantification of Daily Otolith Increments in Young of Year Asian Carp, by Emily A. Szott, James T. Lamer, James Larson, Brent Knights, Jon Vallazza, Levi Solomon, Rich Pendleton, and Andrew F. Casper.
- Using Maxent to Generate a Fundamental Niche Model for Diverse Mussel Assemblages within the Northeastern Ozark Region of Missouri, by Kayla Key, Garth Lindner, Kristen Bouska, Amanda Rosenberger, and Stephen McMurray.
- Mapping and Monitoring Aquatic Vegetation in Lake Erie for Grass Carp Risk Assessment, by Nicole King, Jenny Hanson, and Patrick Kocovsky.
Additional Contributions
- Kristen Bouska
- Co-moderator for the session, “Documented and Documenting the Effects of Climate Change on Inland Fish and Fisheries”
- Marybeth Brey
- Attending and participating in the meeting and retreat of the Governing Board and Management Committee of AFS.
- President of the Equal Opportunities Section, running the business meeting and luncheon.
- Participating in a symposium, "Actions to Increase the Engagement of Underrepresented Minorities in Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences."
- Selected as a mentor for the "Emerging Leaders" program to mentor and develop new leaders in the Society.
Joint Statistical Meetings 
  Brian  Gray (UMESC) presented, “Trend estimation given many short series of latent  means,” at the Joint Statistical Meetings in Chicago, IL, July 30-August 4,  2016. The presentation covered estimating many trends from correlated time  series, such as those commonly obtained by ecological and environmental  monitoring programs.  The presentation’s  co-authors are, Richard Erickson (UMESC), Eric Eager, Travis Harrison (Univ. of  WI-La Crosse), and Karl Oskar Ekvall (Univ. of MN-Twin Cities, Brian Gray, brgray@usgs.gov, Ecosystems).
North  American Ornithological Conference 
  Wayne  Thogmartin, Jessica Stanton, and Mike Wellik (UMESC) participated in the 2016  North American Ornithological Conference, August 16-20, 2016, in Washington DC  (Wayne Thogmartin, wthogmartin@usgs.gov, Ecosystems).
- A generalizable energetics-based full annual cycle model of avian migration to facilitate continental-scale waterbird conservation, by W.E. Thogmartin, E.V. Lonsdorf, K. Aagaard, S. Jacobi, and M.T. Jones.
- The Conservation Atlas for Midwest Grasslands: A New Mapping Tool to Support Strategic Decisions and Cross-sector Collaboration, by T. Will, D. Lambert, R. Drum, W. Thogmartin, C. Wilsey, and K. Koch.
- Incorporating uncertainty into North American landbird population size estimates, by J.C. Stanton, P. Blancher, K.V. Rosenberg, A.O. Panjabi, and W.E. Thogmartin
- Predicting the future: ‘half-life’ projections and urgency metrics for North American birds, by J.C. Stanton and W.E. Thogmartin.
- Airspace use by night migrating landbirds in relation to the southwestern shore of Lake Erie, OH, M. Wellik and E. Kirsch.
University  of Wisconsin-Eau Claire Geospatial Workshop
  John  (JC) Nelson (UMESC) was invited to participate in a workshop to help enhance  geospatial education at the University of Wisconsin-Eau Claire (UWEC), August  18, 2016.  Nelson’s experience as UMESC’s  GIS lab manager and working with lidar data prompted the invitation.  The UWEC workshop will focus on, “Challenges  and strategies for working with millennials,” “Bringing LiDAR into the  classroom,” and “Cartography’s place in the geospatial realm” (John (JC)  Nelson, jcnelson@usgs.gov, Ecosystems).
Managing  Science Data: SciDataCon 2016 
  John  (JC) Nelson (UMESC) presented, “Data management challenges in a distributed  organization: What challenges we are facing at the USGS and how are we working  to overcome them,” at SciDataCon 2016, September 11-13, 2016, in  Denver, CO.  SciDataCon seeks to advance  the frontiers of data in all areas of research. This means addressing a range  of fundamental and urgent issues around the ‘Data Revolution’ and the recent  data-driven transformation of research and the responses to these issues in the  conduct of research. SciDataCon 2016 is part of International  Data Week,  convened by The Committee on Data for Science and Technology (CODATA), the International  Council for Science (ICSU) World Data System, and the Research  Data Alliance (John Nelson, jcnelson@usgs.gov, Ecosystems).
Acronyms
CERC – Columbia Environmental  Research Center
  DNR – Department of Natural  Resources
  eDNA – environmental DNA 
  GRSM – Great Smokey Mountains
  LiDAR – Light Detection and Ranging 
  NPS – National Park Service
  REU – Research Undergraduate  Experiences
  UMESC – Upper Midwest Environmental  Sciences Center
  USFWS – U.S. Fish and Wildlife  Service
  USGS – U.S. Geological Survey
  VMI – Vegetation Monitoring  Inventory
Page Contact Information: Contacting the Upper Midwest Environmental Sciences Center
Page Last Modified: September 27, 2016
 
		 
			

