1 STATION NAME: LaCrosse River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: LX00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 470.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrogen LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19920701 TO 19971110 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 122 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 122 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1992 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 460. 265. 334. 380. 439. 510. 591. 1123. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 479. 265. 338. 380. 439. 507. 639. 2536. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.1167E+02 + 1.0605E+00 LN(FLOW) - 4.0038E-03 SIN(DECTIME) + 9.9298E-02 COS(DECTIME) - 1.0511E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.072 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 30.02 ( 21 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.091 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.1167E+02 + 1.0605E+00 LN(FLOW) - 4.0038E-03 SIN(DECTIME) + 9.9298E-02 COS(DECTIME) - 1.0511E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.072 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.0997E+02 + 9.1480E-01 LN(FLOW) + 4.1143E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.2774E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 1.0381E-01 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: LaCrosse River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: LX00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.60 3.00 2.50 2.60 2.40 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.08 0.15 0.10 0.11 0.11 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 2. 2. 3. 3. 3. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 3. 4. 5. 8. 16. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.60 3.00 2.50 2.60 2.40 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 2. 2. 3. 3. 3. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 3. 4. 5. 8. 17. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.60 3.00 2.40 2.50 2.50 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 2. 3. 3. 3. 3. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 3. 3. 4. 7. 13. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 2.6 1 STATION NAME: LaCrosse River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: LX00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 470.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrate + Nitrite LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19920701 TO 19971110 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 130 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 130 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1992 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 471. 265. 338. 380. 439. 510. 622. 1540. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 479. 265. 338. 380. 439. 507. 639. 2536. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.5656E+01 + 9.3110E+00 LN(FLOW) - 6.2596E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 6.2174E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 6.1208E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.146 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 40.83 ( 23 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.012 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.5656E+01 + 9.3110E+00 LN(FLOW) - 6.2596E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 6.2174E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 6.1208E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.146 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.5218E+01 + 9.3966E+00 LN(FLOW) - 6.4996E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 1.5136E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 5.2539E-01 COS(DECTIME) WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: LaCrosse River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: LX00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1.50 1.80 0.86 1.50 2.00 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.06 0.11 0.05 0.09 0.12 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 2. 2. 3. 4. 6. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1.50 1.80 0.85 1.50 2.00 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 2. 2. 3. 4. 7. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1.50 1.80 0.87 1.40 1.90 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 2. 2. 3. 4. 5. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 1.4 1 STATION NAME: LaCrosse River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: LX00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 470.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Ammonia LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19920701 TO 19971110 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 130 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 118 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1992 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 471. 265. 338. 380. 439. 510. 622. 1540. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 479. 265. 338. 380. 439. 507. 639. 2536. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.9854E+01 - 1.8643E+01 LN(FLOW) + 1.5684E+00 LN(FLOW)**2 + 8.8739E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 5.8121E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 2.208 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 55.29 ( 23 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.4184E+01 - 1.6878E+01 LN(FLOW) + 1.4329E+00 LN(FLOW)**2 + 8.2000E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 5.7795E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 2.034 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.4638E+01 - 1.6947E+01 LN(FLOW) + 1.4372E+00 LN(FLOW)**2 + 5.4391E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 7.0395E-01 COS(DECTIME) NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: LaCrosse River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: LX00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.20 0.39 0.09 0.08 0.28 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.05 0.12 0.03 0.02 0.08 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 4. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.18 0.33 0.11 0.08 0.22 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 2. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 14. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.16 0.25 0.10 0.10 0.22 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 2. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 12. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.11 1 STATION NAME: LaCrosse River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: LX00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 470.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Phosphorus LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19920701 TO 19971110 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 112 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 112 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1992 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 469. 265. 360. 386. 456. 512. 611. 1123. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 479. 265. 338. 380. 439. 507. 639. 2536. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.6558E+01 - 7.9529E+00 LN(FLOW) + 7.4622E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 1.6005E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 3.6259E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.211 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 35.89 ( 19 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.011 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.6558E+01 - 7.9529E+00 LN(FLOW) + 7.4622E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 1.6005E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 3.6259E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.211 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.6698E+01 - 7.9431E+00 LN(FLOW) + 7.3901E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 2.0313E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 4.1971E-01 COS(DECTIME) NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: LaCrosse River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: LX00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.25 0.28 0.36 0.24 0.12 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.03 0.01 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 2. 8. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.28 0.30 0.41 0.26 0.13 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 3. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 2. 18. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.28 0.28 0.42 0.26 0.12 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 2. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 2. 17. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.24 1 STATION NAME: LaCrosse River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: LX00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 470.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Soluble Reactive Phosphorus LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19920701 TO 19971110 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 126 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 119 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1992 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 472. 265. 336. 380. 441. 511. 623. 1540. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 479. 265. 338. 380. 439. 507. 639. 2536. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 6.3073E+02 + 2.3116E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.4785E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 5.3348E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 3.2112E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.169 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 60.39 ( 22 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.9858E+02 + 2.2591E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.4143E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 5.1062E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 3.0483E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.116 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.9501E+02 + 1.5971E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.2118E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.7337E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 3.0091E-01 DECTIME WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: LaCrosse River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: LX00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.10 0.14 0.07 0.09 0.09 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 3. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.09 0.13 0.07 0.08 0.08 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 3. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.07 0.09 0.06 0.06 0.06 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.06 1 STATION NAME: LaCrosse River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: LX00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 470.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Suspended Sediment LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19920701 TO 19971110 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 121 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 121 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1992 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 456. 265. 333. 380. 434. 506. 590. 1123. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 479. 265. 338. 380. 439. 507. 639. 2536. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.2153E+00 + 1.4698E+00 LN(FLOW) - 2.4518E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 8.6497E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.327 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 39.52 ( 21 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.008 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.2153E+00 + 1.4698E+00 LN(FLOW) - 2.4518E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 8.6497E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.327 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 8.7101E-01 + 1.6877E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.4834E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 9.1263E-01 COS(DECTIME) WARNING: MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS 100000 UG/L WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: LaCrosse River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: LX00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 63. 64. 110. 50. 17. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 5. 7. 11. 5. 2. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 12. 19. 38. 68. 82. 91. 111. 163. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 10. 23. 48. 80. 120. 151. 321. 1113. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 63. 65. 110. 51. 17. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 12. 19. 38. 67. 82. 91. 114. 175. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 10. 23. 48. 80. 120. 151. 332. 1199. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 68. 65. 130. 57. 15. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 10. 19. 40. 70. 88. 102. 141. 260. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 8. 22. 50. 82. 131. 170. 423. 1779. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 61. 1 STATION NAME: LaCrosse River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: LX00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 470.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Chloride LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19920701 TO 19971110 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 121 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 121 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1992 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 472. 265. 333. 382. 442. 511. 621. 1540. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 479. 265. 338. 380. 439. 507. 639. 2536. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.4453E+00 + 7.5528E-01 LN(FLOW) + 8.0145E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.1641E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.040 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 34.59 ( 21 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.031 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.4453E+00 + 7.5528E-01 LN(FLOW) + 8.0145E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.1641E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.040 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 4.7573E+00 + 8.6519E-01 LN(FLOW) + 5.8242E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.1528E-01 COS(DECTIME) 1 STATION: LaCrosse River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: LX00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 12. 15. 11. 11. 12. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0. 1. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 6. 9. 10. 11. 12. 12. 12. 12. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 7. 11. 12. 13. 15. 18. 28. 40. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 12. 15. 11. 11. 12. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 6. 9. 10. 11. 12. 12. 12. 12. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 7. 11. 12. 13. 15. 18. 28. 40. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 12. 15. 11. 12. 12. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 7. 9. 10. 11. 11. 11. 12. 12. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 7. 10. 12. 13. 16. 19. 31. 48. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 12. 1 STATION NAME: LaCrosse River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: LX00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 470.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Silicon LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19920701 TO 19971110 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 124 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 124 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1992 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 473. 265. 335. 381. 441. 510. 624. 1540. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 479. 265. 338. 380. 439. 507. 639. 2536. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 6.1052E+01 + 9.6254E-01 LN(FLOW) - 7.0268E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.2418E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.8851E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.064 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 32.57 ( 21 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.051 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 6.1052E+01 + 9.6254E-01 LN(FLOW) - 7.0268E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.2418E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.8851E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.064 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 6.0863E+01 + 9.0013E-01 LN(FLOW) + 2.5605E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.2780E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.8546E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: LaCrosse River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: LX00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 6.40 6.80 5.50 6.90 6.60 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.16 0.29 0.19 0.26 0.28 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4. 4. 5. 6. 6. 7. 7. 7. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 17. 30. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 6.40 6.80 5.50 6.80 6.60 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4. 4. 5. 6. 6. 6. 7. 7. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 17. 31. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 6.40 7.40 5.30 6.40 6.90 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4. 4. 5. 6. 6. 7. 7. 7. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 5. 6. 7. 8. 10. 16. 26. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 6.3