1 STATION NAME: Cannon River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: CN00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 1447.5 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrogen LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19911001 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 127 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 127 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1991 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1204. 260. 376. 498. 874. 1503. 2328. 9818. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1234. 208. 384. 506. 842. 1426. 2501. 12835. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.6046E+02 + 2.2974E+00 LN(FLOW) - 8.6944E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 1.3622E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.6378E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 8.1228E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.094 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 24.74 ( 22 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.310 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.6046E+02 + 2.2974E+00 LN(FLOW) - 8.6944E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 1.3622E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.6378E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 8.1228E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.094 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.6053E+02 + 2.2781E+00 LN(FLOW) - 7.9886E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 4.0318E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.0610E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 8.1344E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: Cannon River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: CN00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 16. 24. 16. 14. 9. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 1. 2. 1. 1. 0. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 4. 5. 5. 6. 7. 7. 7. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 6. 11. 20. 34. 48. 76. 129. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 16. 24. 16. 14. 9. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 4. 5. 5. 6. 7. 7. 7. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 6. 11. 20. 33. 47. 76. 132. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 17. 27. 17. 15. 9. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 4. 5. 5. 6. 7. 8. 8. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 6. 11. 20. 36. 54. 90. 173. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 16. 1 STATION NAME: Cannon River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: CN00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 1447.5 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrate + Nitrite LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19911001 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 136 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 136 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1991 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1231. 260. 382. 494. 848. 1456. 2333. 9818. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1234. 208. 384. 506. 842. 1426. 2501. 12835. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.1103E+00 + 1.1182E+00 LN(FLOW) - 9.5401E-03 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.6314E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.167 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 45.03 ( 24 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.006 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.1103E+00 + 1.1182E+00 LN(FLOW) - 9.5401E-03 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.6314E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.167 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.2072E+00 + 1.1118E+00 LN(FLOW) + 3.4839E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.7626E-01 COS(DECTIME) 1 STATION: Cannon River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: CN00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 13. 19. 13. 12. 7. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 1. 1. 1. 1. 0. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 3. 4. 4. 5. 5. 5. 6. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 5. 8. 15. 26. 40. 72. 153. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 13. 19. 13. 11. 7. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 3. 4. 4. 5. 5. 5. 5. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 5. 8. 15. 26. 39. 71. 152. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 13. 20. 13. 11. 7. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 3. 4. 4. 5. 5. 5. 5. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 5. 8. 15. 26. 38. 72. 156. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 12. 1 STATION NAME: Cannon River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: CN00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 1447.5 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Ammonia LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19911001 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 136 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 123 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1991 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1231. 260. 382. 494. 848. 1456. 2333. 9818. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1234. 208. 384. 506. 842. 1426. 2501. 12835. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 4.3523E+00 + 1.4250E+00 LN(FLOW) + 7.7388E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 7.4894E-02 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 2.868 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 75.68 ( 24 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 4.1460E+00 + 1.4039E+00 LN(FLOW) + 7.1714E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.1857E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 2.637 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 3.4339E+00 + 1.3618E+00 LN(FLOW) + 5.5855E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 3.0156E-01 COS(DECTIME) 1 STATION: Cannon River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: CN00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1.00 2.60 0.87 0.30 0.29 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.30 0.89 0.28 0.09 0.08 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 1. 2. 4. 11. 30. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.62 1.50 0.53 0.20 0.19 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 3. 7. 19. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.54 1.30 0.44 0.24 0.22 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 2. 5. 15. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.42 1 STATION NAME: Cannon River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: CN00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 1447.5 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Phosphorus LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19911001 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 124 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 123 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1991 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1274. 260. 384. 545. 897. 1531. 2343. 9818. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1234. 208. 384. 506. 842. 1426. 2501. 12835. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 1.4547E+00 + 1.1815E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.9068E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.6497E-02 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.518 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 64.15 ( 21 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 1.4460E+00 + 1.1803E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.8975E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.8267E-02 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.514 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 7.8715E-01 + 1.0962E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.0451E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.4903E-01 COS(DECTIME) NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: Cannon River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: CN00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.72 0.95 0.97 0.67 0.28 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.07 0.13 0.12 0.08 0.03 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 1. 2. 2. 4. 10. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.69 0.91 0.93 0.64 0.27 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 2. 4. 10. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.66 0.92 0.93 0.56 0.24 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 2. 4. 9. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.70 1 STATION NAME: Cannon River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: CN00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 1447.5 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Soluble Reactive Phosphorus LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19911001 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 134 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 125 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1991 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1235. 260. 381. 497. 848. 1470. 2337. 9818. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1234. 208. 384. 506. 842. 1426. 2501. 12835. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 6.0219E+02 - 1.2486E+00 LN(FLOW) + 2.0215E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 4.5503E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 5.9730E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.9976E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.381 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 67.40 ( 23 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.7587E+02 - 1.2530E+00 LN(FLOW) + 2.0157E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 4.3395E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 5.6388E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.8652E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.301 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.7672E+02 - 1.4021E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.9957E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 3.2828E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.9825E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.8630E-01 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: Cannon River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: CN00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.52 0.67 0.59 0.60 0.23 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.13 0.22 0.21 0.14 0.05 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 2. 6. 21. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.47 0.62 0.56 0.50 0.19 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 2. 6. 23. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.39 0.53 0.50 0.37 0.15 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 5. 18. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.31 - 0.32 1 STATION NAME: Cannon River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: CN00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 1447.5 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Suspended Sediment LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19911001 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 105 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 105 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1203. 260. 356. 491. 807. 1525. 2280. 9818. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1234. 208. 384. 506. 842. 1426. 2501. 12835. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 6.9668E+00 + 4.2383E+00 LN(FLOW) - 2.1852E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 2.1681E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 8.4869E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.472 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 28.28 ( 18 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.058 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 6.9668E+00 + 4.2383E+00 LN(FLOW) - 2.1852E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 2.1681E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 8.4869E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.472 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 6.9391E+00 + 4.2050E+00 LN(FLOW) - 2.1434E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 2.7482E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 8.4010E-01 COS(DECTIME) 1 STATION: Cannon River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: CN00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 130. 160. 260. 97. 21. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 14. 21. 32. 13. 3. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 7. 16. 30. 55. 71. 77. 82. 86. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4. 25. 83. 168. 326. 461. 829. 1008. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 150. 180. 280. 110. 23. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 8. 18. 33. 60. 78. 84. 90. 94. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4. 28. 92. 184. 360. 509. 929. 1201. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 150. 170. 300. 110. 23. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 7. 18. 34. 61. 79. 86. 93. 96. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4. 28. 93. 184. 365. 534. 990. 1324. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 170. 1 STATION NAME: Cannon River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: CN00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 1447.5 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Chloride LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19911001 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 134 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 134 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1991 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1235. 260. 381. 497. 848. 1470. 2337. 9818. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1234. 208. 384. 506. 842. 1426. 2501. 12835. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.0186E+01 + 8.2705E-01 LN(FLOW) + 6.2601E-03 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.1053E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.2184E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.053 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 45.33 ( 23 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.004 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.0186E+01 + 8.2705E-01 LN(FLOW) + 6.2601E-03 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.1053E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.2184E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.053 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.0073E+01 + 7.8607E-01 LN(FLOW) + 2.9000E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 8.3412E-02 COS(DECTIME) - 2.1967E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: Cannon River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: CN00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 66. 92. 69. 60. 42. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 2. 4. 2. 2. 2. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 13. 20. 22. 26. 28. 28. 29. 31. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 16. 34. 51. 79. 124. 166. 271. 460. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 66. 92. 69. 60. 42. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 13. 20. 22. 26. 27. 28. 29. 31. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 16. 34. 50. 78. 123. 166. 270. 459. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 65. 91. 68. 57. 41. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 12. 20. 22. 26. 28. 29. 30. 32. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 16. 34. 50. 77. 119. 159. 255. 423. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 65. 1 STATION NAME: Cannon River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: CN00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 1447.5 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Silicon LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19911001 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 133 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 133 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1991 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1236. 260. 380. 496. 827. 1481. 2339. 9818. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1234. 208. 384. 506. 842. 1426. 2501. 12835. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 6.3862E+00 - 1.4836E-03 LN(FLOW) + 8.3524E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 3.4889E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.9899E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.207 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 57.98 ( 23 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 6.3862E+00 - 1.4836E-03 LN(FLOW) + 8.3524E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 3.4889E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.9899E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.207 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 6.3449E+00 + 3.5294E-02 LN(FLOW) + 8.0952E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 2.8067E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.5750E-01 COS(DECTIME) NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: Cannon River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: CN00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 25. 28. 29. 28. 13. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 2. 3. 3. 2. 1. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4. 5. 7. 9. 10. 11. 12. 15. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 9. 14. 27. 50. 79. 161. 374. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 24. 28. 29. 28. 12. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4. 5. 7. 9. 10. 10. 12. 15. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 8. 14. 27. 49. 78. 161. 386. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 24. 30. 29. 26. 12. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4. 5. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 14. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4. 8. 14. 26. 49. 78. 160. 403. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 23.