1 STATION NAME: Vermillion River at Farmington, MN STATION NUMBER: VR 20.6 DRAINAGE AREA: 100.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrogen LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19770101 TO 19961231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 185 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 185 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1980 TO 1996 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 51. 15. 20. 27. 37. 60. 99. 225. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 60. 10. 20. 27. 40. 67. 112. 2645. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.9564E+00 + 1.1460E+00 LN(FLOW) + 8.3278E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.4094E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.091 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 99.73 ( 34 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.9564E+00 + 1.1460E+00 LN(FLOW) + 8.3278E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.4094E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.091 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.9804E+00 + 1.1493E+00 LN(FLOW) + 7.9001E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.1123E-01 COS(DECTIME) 1 STATION: Vermillion River at Farmington, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: VR 20.6 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.43 0.70 0.37 0.38 0.25 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.02 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.01 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 2. 2. 3. 3. 3. 3. 4. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 3. 27. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.42 0.70 0.37 0.38 0.25 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 2. 2. 3. 3. 3. 3. 4. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 3. 27. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.43 0.70 0.38 0.38 0.24 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 2. 2. 3. 3. 3. 3. 4. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 3. 28. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.40 1 STATION NAME: Vermillion River at Farmington, MN STATION NUMBER: VR 20.6 DRAINAGE AREA: 100.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrate + Nitrite LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19770101 TO 19961231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 337 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 337 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1979 TO 1996 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 56. 15. 20. 28. 41. 67. 110. 295. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 60. 10. 20. 27. 40. 67. 112. 2645. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.1347E+00 + 1.0401E+00 LN(FLOW) + 8.9989E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.2408E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.178 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 214.68 ( 64 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.1347E+00 + 1.0401E+00 LN(FLOW) + 8.9989E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.2408E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.178 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.1870E+00 + 1.0325E+00 LN(FLOW) + 6.2314E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.1425E-01 COS(DECTIME) 1 STATION: Vermillion River at Farmington, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: VR 20.6 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.33 0.52 0.26 0.30 0.22 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 3. 3. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 2. 14. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.32 0.50 0.26 0.29 0.22 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 3. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 2. 14. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.32 0.49 0.26 0.30 0.22 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 3. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 2. 14. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.31 1 STATION NAME: Vermillion River at Farmington, MN STATION NUMBER: VR 20.6 DRAINAGE AREA: 100.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Ammonia LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19770101 TO 19961231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 372 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 251 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1979 TO 1996 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 54. 15. 20. 28. 40. 64. 106. 295. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 60. 10. 20. 27. 40. 67. 112. 2645. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.7261E+02 + 4.3900E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.7041E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 4.4762E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.7615E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 1.4153E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.919 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 177.24 ( 71 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.1430E+02 + 3.2474E+00 LN(FLOW) - 2.4434E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 3.1368E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.5987E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 1.1086E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.773 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.1332E+02 + 3.2659E+00 LN(FLOW) - 2.5064E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 2.7639E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.9278E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 1.1041E-01 DECTIME 1 STATION: Vermillion River at Farmington, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: VR 20.6 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.02 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.01 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.02 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.01 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.02 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.01 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.01 - 0.01 1 STATION NAME: Vermillion River at Farmington, MN STATION NUMBER: VR 20.6 DRAINAGE AREA: 100.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Phosphorus LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19770101 TO 19961231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 369 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 361 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1979 TO 1996 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 55. 15. 21. 28. 40. 65. 109. 295. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 60. 10. 20. 27. 40. 67. 112. 2645. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.0826E+02 + 1.3694E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.1319E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 3.7289E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 5.5677E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.612 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 166.86 ( 70 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.0623E+02 + 1.3619E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.0779E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 3.6762E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 5.4640E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.603 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.0525E+02 + 1.4028E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.6488E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 3.5398E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 5.4268E-02 DECTIME 1 STATION: Vermillion River at Farmington, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: VR 20.6 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.01 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 3. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 3. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.01 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 4. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.02 1 STATION NAME: Vermillion River at Farmington, MN STATION NUMBER: VR 20.6 DRAINAGE AREA: 100.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Soluble Reactive Phosphorus (measured as Orthophosphate) LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19770101 TO 19961231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 254 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 254 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1979 TO 1996 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 61. 15. 22. 33. 45. 74. 120. 295. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 60. 10. 20. 27. 40. 67. 112. 2645. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.1816E+02 - 2.6242E-01 LN(FLOW) + 1.6829E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 1.7712E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 4.0728E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 5.8996E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.501 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 91.46 ( 47 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.1816E+02 - 2.6242E-01 LN(FLOW) + 1.6829E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 1.7712E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 4.0728E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 5.8996E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.501 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.1844E+02 - 2.7527E-01 LN(FLOW) + 1.8076E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 1.7025E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 3.5572E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 5.9250E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS TWICE THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: Vermillion River at Farmington, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: VR 20.6 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 3. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.00 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 8. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.00 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 2. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 13. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.01 1 STATION NAME: Vermillion River at Farmington, MN STATION NUMBER: VR 20.6 DRAINAGE AREA: 100.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Suspended Solids LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19770101 TO 19961231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 405 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 381 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1977 TO 1996 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 52. 15. 19. 26. 39. 61. 103. 295. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 60. 10. 20. 27. 40. 67. 112. 2645. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.6862E+01 + 1.5915E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.8142E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 2.8819E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.8017E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.558 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 120.69 ( 78 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.0742E+01 + 1.5592E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.2006E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 2.8009E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.4865E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.542 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.0542E+01 + 1.5165E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.0994E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 2.9051E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.4694E-02 DECTIME 1 STATION: Vermillion River at Farmington, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: VR 20.6 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.20 3.90 2.60 1.90 0.52 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.22 0.42 0.25 0.25 0.03 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 5. 7. 10. 14. 17. 27. 74. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 2. 4. 7. 23. 528. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.40 4.10 2.70 2.00 0.57 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 6. 8. 11. 15. 18. 28. 75. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 2. 4. 8. 23. 536. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.20 3.80 2.60 1.90 0.56 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 6. 8. 11. 15. 17. 26. 65. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 2. 4. 7. 21. 461. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 1.6 - 1.7