1 STATION NAME: Vermillion River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: VM00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 261.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrogen LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19910101 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 136 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 136 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1991 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 238. 55. 89. 121. 165. 266. 458. 1756. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 221. 45. 85. 109. 161. 251. 399. 6905. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.9566E+02 + 1.6943E+00 LN(FLOW) - 5.6908E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 7.2707E-03 SIN(DECTIME) + 9.5080E-02 COS(DECTIME) - 9.7605E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.075 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 37.30 ( 24 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.041 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.9566E+02 + 1.6943E+00 LN(FLOW) - 5.6908E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 7.2707E-03 SIN(DECTIME) + 9.5080E-02 COS(DECTIME) - 9.7605E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.075 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.9439E+02 + 1.0302E+00 LN(FLOW) + 3.3013E-03 LN(FLOW)**2 + 4.8436E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.0303E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 9.6065E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: Vermillion River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: VM00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.40 3.00 2.60 2.70 1.40 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.08 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.06 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 3. 4. 5. 5. 5. 6. 6. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 2. 3. 5. 6. 11. 55. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.40 3.00 2.60 2.70 1.40 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 3. 4. 5. 5. 5. 6. 6. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 2. 3. 5. 6. 11. 60. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.50 3.10 2.70 2.70 1.40 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 3. 4. 5. 5. 6. 6. 6. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 1. 2. 3. 5. 6. 12. 109. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 2.3 1 STATION NAME: Vermillion River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: VM00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 261.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrate + Nitrite LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19910101 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 143 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 142 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1991 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 236. 55. 89. 119. 164. 266. 480. 1756. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 221. 45. 85. 109. 161. 251. 399. 6905. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.6720E+02 + 1.1013E+00 LN(FLOW) + 2.0274E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 3.1766E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 8.2766E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.338 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 93.89 ( 25 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.6714E+02 + 1.1009E+00 LN(FLOW) + 2.0208E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 3.1723E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 8.2730E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.336 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.6723E+02 + 1.1364E+00 LN(FLOW) + 2.0749E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 3.1179E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 8.2817E-02 DECTIME WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: Vermillion River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: VM00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1.90 2.70 1.70 1.90 1.30 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.13 0.25 0.16 0.21 0.12 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 2. 3. 4. 5. 5. 5. 6. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 2. 3. 5. 10. 70. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1.80 2.50 1.60 1.80 1.20 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 2. 3. 4. 4. 5. 5. 6. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 2. 3. 4. 10. 69. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1.80 2.60 1.70 1.80 1.20 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 2. 3. 4. 4. 5. 5. 6. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 2. 3. 5. 10. 78. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 1.6 1 STATION NAME: Vermillion River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: VM00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 261.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Ammonia LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19910101 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 143 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 132 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1991 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 236. 55. 89. 119. 164. 266. 480. 1756. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 221. 45. 85. 109. 161. 251. 399. 6905. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.4471E+00 + 1.2071E+00 LN(FLOW) + 8.5489E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.7193E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 2.414 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 65.60 ( 25 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.3745E+00 + 1.2010E+00 LN(FLOW) + 8.0855E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.8276E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 2.256 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.6623E+00 + 1.3477E+00 LN(FLOW) + 5.5890E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 4.9747E-01 COS(DECTIME) 1 STATION: Vermillion River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: VM00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.12 0.25 0.10 0.05 0.06 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.03 0.07 0.03 0.02 0.02 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 2. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.08 0.17 0.07 0.04 0.04 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 2. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.09 0.16 0.07 0.07 0.06 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 4. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.08 1 STATION NAME: Vermillion River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: VM00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 261.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Phosphorus LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19910101 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 131 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 131 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1991 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 244. 55. 91. 123. 168. 268. 494. 1756. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 221. 45. 85. 109. 161. 251. 399. 6905. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 4.7233E+00 - 7.0812E-01 LN(FLOW) + 1.5116E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 2.0770E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.1407E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.196 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 32.36 ( 23 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.093 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 4.7233E+00 - 7.0812E-01 LN(FLOW) + 1.5116E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 2.0770E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.1407E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.196 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 4.9875E+00 - 7.4811E-01 LN(FLOW) + 1.4954E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 2.5240E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 2.3897E-01 COS(DECTIME) WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: Vermillion River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: VM00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.13 0.12 0.18 0.18 0.06 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.00 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 16. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.13 0.12 0.18 0.18 0.06 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 20. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.13 0.11 0.19 0.18 0.05 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 17. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.13 1 STATION NAME: Vermillion River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: VM00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 261.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Soluble Reactive Phosphorus LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19910101 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 141 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 132 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1991 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 237. 55. 88. 118. 164. 265. 494. 1756. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 221. 45. 85. 109. 161. 251. 399. 6905. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 6.4799E+02 + 1.2547E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.9219E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 4.5573E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 3.2619E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.486 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 76.04 ( 25 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 6.2172E+02 + 1.2434E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.8592E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 4.3676E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 3.1298E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.402 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 6.2128E+02 + 1.1138E+00 LN(FLOW) - 2.4748E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.9420E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 3.1234E-01 DECTIME 1 STATION: Vermillion River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: VM00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.13 0.05 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.01 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 8. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.11 0.04 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 7. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.08 0.04 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 4. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.05 1 STATION NAME: Vermillion River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: VM00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 261.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Suspended Sediment LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19910101 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 105 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 105 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 250. 78. 102. 126. 180. 267. 465. 1756. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 221. 45. 85. 109. 161. 251. 399. 6905. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 3.7415E+00 + 3.7803E+00 LN(FLOW) - 2.2838E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 5.7358E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 9.6897E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.264 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 11.54 ( 18 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.870 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 3.7415E+00 + 3.7803E+00 LN(FLOW) - 2.2838E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 5.7358E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 9.6897E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.264 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 3.8374E+00 + 3.7683E+00 LN(FLOW) - 2.2405E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 5.3627E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 9.5871E-01 COS(DECTIME) WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: Vermillion River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: VM00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 18. 12. 36. 18. 2. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 1. 1. 3. 2. 0. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 9. 20. 38. 54. 62. 71. 73. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 3. 9. 20. 41. 67. 138. 223. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 18. 12. 37. 19. 2. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 9. 21. 39. 54. 63. 71. 74. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 3. 10. 20. 41. 68. 145. 245. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 18. 13. 37. 19. 2. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 9. 21. 38. 53. 63. 71. 74. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 3. 9. 20. 41. 68. 152. 267. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 18. 1 STATION NAME: Vermillion River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: VM00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 261.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Chloride LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19910101 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 142 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 141 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1991 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 237. 55. 89. 118. 164. 264. 487. 1756. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 221. 45. 85. 109. 161. 251. 399. 6905. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.3872E+00 + 8.6711E-01 LN(FLOW) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.492 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 200.50 ( 25 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.3893E+00 + 8.6680E-01 LN(FLOW) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.489 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.7314E+00 + 8.1513E-01 LN(FLOW) 1 STATION: Vermillion River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: VM00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 14. 17. 17. 15. 9. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 15. 25. 26. 28. 29. 30. 31. 31. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4. 8. 11. 17. 25. 32. 58. 282. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 12. 15. 14. 13. 7. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 14. 21. 22. 24. 24. 25. 26. 27. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 7. 10. 14. 21. 27. 50. 253. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 12. 14. 14. 13. 8. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 11. 21. 23. 24. 25. 27. 28. 29. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 7. 10. 14. 21. 26. 46. 210. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 12. 1 STATION NAME: Vermillion River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: VM00.1M DRAINAGE AREA: 261.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Silicon LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19910101 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 141 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 141 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1991 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 237. 55. 88. 118. 164. 265. 494. 1756. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 221. 45. 85. 109. 161. 251. 399. 6905. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.7196E+00 + 9.5851E-01 LN(FLOW) - 2.7626E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 3.5685E-02 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.212 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 108.23 ( 25 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.7196E+00 + 9.5851E-01 LN(FLOW) - 2.7626E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 3.5685E-02 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.212 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 4.0729E+00 + 9.0863E-01 LN(FLOW) - 1.9234E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 3.3204E-02 COS(DECTIME) 1 STATION: Vermillion River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: VM00.1M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 4.00 3.70 4.80 5.50 2.20 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.20 0.26 0.33 0.42 0.15 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 9. 9. 9. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 3. 5. 7. 10. 19. 138. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 3.90 3.60 4.70 5.30 2.10 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 5. 5. 7. 8. 9. 9. 9. 9. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 3. 4. 7. 9. 18. 137. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 3.80 3.80 4.40 4.80 2.20 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 5. 6. 7. 8. 8. 8. 9. 9. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 3. 4. 7. 9. 16. 106. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 3.9