1 STATION NAME: Missouri River at Hermann, MO STATION NUMBER: 06934500 DRAINAGE AREA: 524200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrogen LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19940331 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 253 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 253 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1973 TO 1994 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 86162. 18000. 37200. 45950. 68300. 105000. 167400. 418000. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 94672. 13900. 40000. 50300. 74200. 116000. 179000. 739000. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.1042E+00 + 1.3954E+00 LN(FLOW) + 3.0809E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 9.7735E-02 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.172 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 78.21 ( 47 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.003 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.1042E+00 + 1.3954E+00 LN(FLOW) + 3.0809E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 9.7735E-02 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.172 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 1.5564E+00 + 1.3457E+00 LN(FLOW) + 3.6409E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.3038E-01 COS(DECTIME) 1 STATION: Missouri River at Hermann, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 06934500 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 700. 1200. 740. 410. 420. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 29. 66. 35. 23. 21. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 3. 4. 4. 5. 6. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 40. 224. 399. 853. 1630. 2370. 3984. 9598. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 700. 1200. 740. 410. 420. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 3. 4. 4. 5. 6. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 40. 224. 399. 853. 1632. 2375. 3995. 9655. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 700. 1200. 740. 380. 410. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 3. 4. 4. 5. 6. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 42. 222. 400. 852. 1621. 2343. 3817. 8609. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 660. 1 STATION NAME: Missouri River at Hermann, MO STATION NUMBER: 06934500 DRAINAGE AREA: 524200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrate + Nitrite LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19940331 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 273 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 265 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1973 TO 1994 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 87861. 18000. 37580. 46150. 70800. 111000. 167400. 418000. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 94672. 13900. 40000. 50300. 74200. 116000. 179000. 739000. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 1.1683E+02 + 1.0058E+01 LN(FLOW) - 3.8079E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 4.6987E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 7.2805E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 3.2651E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.424 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 116.10 ( 51 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 1.1539E+02 + 9.9309E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.7540E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 4.6220E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 7.0161E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 3.2309E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.413 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 1.1536E+02 + 9.9497E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.7855E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 4.1517E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.7377E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 3.2426E-02 DECTIME 1 STATION: Missouri River at Hermann, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 06934500 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 340. 620. 300. 180. 260. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 21. 50. 22. 15. 20. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 2. 2. 2. 3. 3. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 7. 107. 221. 488. 825. 1032. 1416. 1904. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 330. 600. 300. 180. 250. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 2. 2. 2. 3. 3. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 7. 105. 215. 475. 802. 1011. 1378. 1856. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 320. 560. 300. 180. 230. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 1. 2. 2. 3. 3. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 7. 107. 215. 457. 753. 928. 1242. 1662. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 320. 1 STATION NAME: Missouri River at Hermann, MO STATION NUMBER: 06934500 DRAINAGE AREA: 524200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Ammonia LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19940331 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 199 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 180 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1979 TO 1994 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 91202. 22300. 37800. 46000. 69300. 115000. 180000. 418000. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 94672. 13900. 40000. 50300. 74200. 116000. 179000. 739000. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.3071E+02 + 1.3216E+00 LN(FLOW) + 2.9862E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 5.6305E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 6.8334E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.571 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 50.22 ( 36 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.058 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.2980E+02 + 1.2912E+00 LN(FLOW) + 2.7900E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 5.2982E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 6.7682E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.539 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.2909E+02 + 1.3347E+00 LN(FLOW) + 3.0464E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 4.2420E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 6.7576E-02 DECTIME 1 STATION: Missouri River at Hermann, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 06934500 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 25. 41. 13. 18. 28. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 3. 6. 2. 3. 4. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 8. 15. 28. 55. 80. 172. 365. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 27. 44. 15. 20. 30. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 9. 16. 31. 60. 86. 182. 388. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 28. 48. 17. 19. 28. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 9. 17. 32. 61. 90. 184. 449. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 16. 1 STATION NAME: Missouri River at Hermann, MO STATION NUMBER: 06934500 DRAINAGE AREA: 524200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Phosphorus LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19940331 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 266 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 266 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1973 TO 1994 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 88584. 18000. 37350. 46075. 69250. 107750. 172800. 418000. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 94672. 13900. 40000. 50300. 74200. 116000. 179000. 739000. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.4637E+01 + 1.2817E+00 LN(FLOW) - 8.9168E-03 SIN(DECTIME) - 2.4863E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 1.3900E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.340 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 76.98 ( 50 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.008 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.4637E+01 + 1.2817E+00 LN(FLOW) - 8.9168E-03 SIN(DECTIME) - 2.4863E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 1.3900E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.340 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.5007E+01 + 1.2613E+00 LN(FLOW) + 4.9299E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 2.5146E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 1.3974E-02 DECTIME 1 STATION: Missouri River at Hermann, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 06934500 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 84. 120. 110. 66. 44. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 4. 9. 7. 5. 3. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 5. 33. 56. 102. 181. 251. 408. 1122. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 84. 120. 110. 66. 44. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 5. 33. 56. 103. 182. 252. 411. 1138. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 84. 120. 110. 63. 45. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 5. 33. 56. 103. 182. 253. 413. 1059. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 91. 1 STATION NAME: Missouri River at Hermann, MO STATION NUMBER: 06934500 DRAINAGE AREA: 524200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Soluble Reactive Phosphorus (measured as Dissolved Orthophosphate) LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19940331 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 177 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 175 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1981 TO 1994 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 93855. 22300. 37400. 45900. 73200. 118000. 185000. 418000. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 94672. 13900. 40000. 50300. 74200. 116000. 179000. 739000. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 6.4757E+01 + 8.8610E-01 LN(FLOW) - 6.9180E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.2143E-01 COS(DECTIME) + 3.2745E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.161 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 55.31 ( 32 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.006 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 6.4286E+01 + 8.8583E-01 LN(FLOW) - 6.9219E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.2069E-01 COS(DECTIME) + 3.2511E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.159 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 6.3627E+01 + 8.7365E-01 LN(FLOW) - 6.5391E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 9.2912E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 3.2258E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: Missouri River at Hermann, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 06934500 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 17. 20. 21. 16. 11. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 10. 13. 21. 31. 40. 59. 165. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 17. 20. 21. 16. 12. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 10. 14. 21. 31. 40. 59. 166. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 17. 20. 20. 16. 12. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 10. 14. 21. 31. 39. 58. 158. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 20. 1 STATION NAME: Missouri River at Hermann, MO STATION NUMBER: 06934500 DRAINAGE AREA: 524200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Suspended Sediment LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19940331 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 214 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 214 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1973 TO 1993 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 91336. 18000. 37000. 49073. 73300. 115250. 180000. 301000. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 94672. 13900. 40000. 50300. 74200. 116000. 179000. 739000. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 8.0968E+01 - 3.6537E+00 LN(FLOW) + 2.4926E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 1.7500E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 4.8821E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.6525E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.850 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 45.54 ( 39 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.219 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 8.0968E+01 - 3.6537E+00 LN(FLOW) + 2.4926E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 1.7500E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 4.8821E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.6525E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.850 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 8.1621E+01 - 3.5472E+00 LN(FLOW) + 2.4474E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 1.4290E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 3.2516E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.7153E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS TWICE THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. WARNING: MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS 100000 UG/L 1 STATION: Missouri River at Hermann, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 06934500 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 370000. 660000. 510000. 190000. 110000. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 64000. 130000. 100000. 35000. 16000. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 109. 314. 544. 1013. 1825. 2631. 4754. 13686. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4979. 46309. 103724. 302749. 834405. 1562513. 4132257. ******** LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 370000. 650000. 520000. 190000. 110000. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 110. 303. 525. 976. 1765. 2554. 4760. 17240. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 5296. 44668. 100075. 291748. 807604. 1518942. 4179595. ******** LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 350000. 610000. 450000. 200000. 120000. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 128. 328. 510. 919. 1616. 2358. 4386. 14976. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 6057. 45956. 101172. 278115. 749515. 1389590. 3966267. ******** LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 270000. 1 STATION NAME: Missouri River at Hermann, MO STATION NUMBER: 06934500 DRAINAGE AREA: 524200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Chloride LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19940331 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 201 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 201 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1973 TO 1994 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 97508. 18000. 37820. 49350. 73700. 117500. 188200. 418000. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 94672. 13900. 40000. 50300. 74200. 116000. 179000. 739000. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 9.5108E+00 + 5.5660E-01 LN(FLOW) + 4.1674E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.5210E-02 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.042 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 33.83 ( 37 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.618 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 9.5108E+00 + 5.5660E-01 LN(FLOW) + 4.1674E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.5210E-02 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.042 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 9.2966E+00 + 5.7452E-01 LN(FLOW) + 5.6935E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 3.7459E-02 COS(DECTIME) NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: Missouri River at Hermann, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 06934500 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 3900. 4700. 4100. 3500. 3300. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 60. 120. 94. 86. 77. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 6. 15. 18. 21. 23. 26. 30. 37. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1388. 2815. 3514. 4586. 5885. 6765. 8485. 12633. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 3900. 4700. 4100. 3500. 3300. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 6. 15. 18. 21. 23. 26. 30. 37. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1390. 2816. 3515. 4588. 5887. 6770. 8492. 12652. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 3900. 4800. 3900. 3500. 3400. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 6. 15. 18. 21. 24. 27. 30. 38. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1425. 2797. 3503. 4646. 5918. 6856. 8705. 12498. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 3800. 1 STATION NAME: Missouri River at Hermann, MO STATION NUMBER: 06934500 DRAINAGE AREA: 524200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Silica (The values represented here are for SiO2. Values for loads and concentrations have been converted to represent elemental Si. Si = 0.46744 * SiO2 ) LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19940331 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 184 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 184 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1973 TO 1994 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 100480. 22300. 38200. 49925. 75750. 122000. 206000. 418000. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 94672. 13900. 40000. 50300. 74200. 116000. 179000. 739000. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.8165E+00 + 1.0114E+00 LN(FLOW) + 7.1547E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.2644E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.044 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 44.48 ( 33 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.088 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.8165E+00 + 1.0114E+00 LN(FLOW) + 7.1547E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.2644E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.044 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 4.0204E+00 + 9.9386E-01 LN(FLOW) + 4.7616E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.3920E-01 COS(DECTIME) 1 STATION: Missouri River at Hermann, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 06934500 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2500. 3400. 2400. 2200. 2100. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 45. 93. 60. 61. 54. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 8. 9. 10. 11. 11. 11. 11. 11. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 414. 1311. 1932. 3119. 4794. 6124. 9397. 17284. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2500. 3400. 2400. 2200. 2100. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 8. 9. 10. 11. 11. 11. 11. 11. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 414. 1311. 1932. 3120. 4795. 6128. 9406. 17312. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2500. 3300. 2300. 2200. 2100. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 8. 9. 10. 11. 11. 11. 11. 11. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 430. 1334. 1936. 3078. 4694. 5957. 9019. 16674. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 2500.