1 STATION NAME: Salt River at New London, MO STATION NUMBER: 05508000 DRAINAGE AREA: 2480.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrogen LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19921231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 105 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 105 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1973 TO 1990 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 2227. 16. 44. 99. 400. 2065. 7006. 44000. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1978. 6. 42. 95. 342. 1900. 5340. 98200. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.8864E+01 + 1.1099E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.6810E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.4001E-02 COS(DECTIME) - 2.8877E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.205 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 21.07 ( 18 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.276 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.8864E+01 + 1.1099E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.6810E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.4001E-02 COS(DECTIME) - 2.8877E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.205 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.8922E+01 + 1.0994E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.7184E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 2.5261E-02 COS(DECTIME) - 2.8878E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: Salt River at New London, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05508000 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 16. 32. 11. 7. 14. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 1. 3. 1. 1. 1. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 2. 3. 3. 4. 6. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 2. 12. 38. 75. 213. 1468. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 16. 32. 11. 7. 14. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 2. 3. 3. 4. 6. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 2. 12. 38. 76. 214. 1486. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 16. 31. 11. 7. 13. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 2. 3. 3. 4. 5. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 2. 12. 37. 73. 208. 1415. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 17. 1 STATION NAME: Salt River at New London, MO STATION NUMBER: 05508000 DRAINAGE AREA: 2480.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrate + Nitrite LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19921231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 119 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 99 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1973 TO 1990 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 2304. 17. 43. 95. 400. 2080. 7060. 44000. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1978. 6. 42. 95. 342. 1900. 5340. 98200. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 4.8761E+00 + 2.7283E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.1657E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 3.2665E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 3.9164E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.302 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 63.67 ( 20 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 3.5518E+00 + 2.3705E+00 LN(FLOW) - 9.2848E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 3.1798E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 3.1264E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.165 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 3.5718E+00 + 2.3981E+00 LN(FLOW) - 9.1720E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 3.4551E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.0941E-01 COS(DECTIME) WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS TWICE THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: Salt River at New London, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05508000 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 7. 12. 3. 3. 9. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 1. 3. 1. 1. 2. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 2. 2. 2. 3. 3. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 8. 22. 34. 55. 71. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 6. 11. 3. 3. 7. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 1. 2. 2. 2. 2. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 7. 18. 30. 53. 90. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 7. 13. 4. 3. 7. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 1. 2. 2. 2. 2. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 8. 20. 34. 61. 123. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 4.1 1 STATION NAME: Salt River at New London, MO STATION NUMBER: 05508000 DRAINAGE AREA: 2480.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Ammonia LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19921231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 71 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 63 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1979 TO 1990 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1989. 17. 44. 95. 393. 2380. 6780. 14100. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1978. 6. 42. 95. 342. 1900. 5340. 98200. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.3433E+02 + 1.0902E+00 LN(FLOW) + 4.4878E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.8728E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 1.1900E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.881 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 12.39 ( 11 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.335 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.2364E+02 + 1.0934E+00 LN(FLOW) + 4.0887E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.4343E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 1.1359E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.837 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.2636E+02 + 1.0445E+00 LN(FLOW) + 4.5663E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.2430E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 1.1477E-01 DECTIME WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS TWICE THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: Salt River at New London, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05508000 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1.10 2.60 0.47 0.31 1.00 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.36 0.95 0.15 0.10 0.33 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 1. 2. 5. 17. 157. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1.10 2.60 0.52 0.34 1.00 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 1. 2. 5. 18. 174. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1.00 2.30 0.42 0.29 0.97 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 1. 2. 5. 15. 136. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.48 - 0.49 1 STATION NAME: Salt River at New London, MO STATION NUMBER: 05508000 DRAINAGE AREA: 2480.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Phosphorus LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19921231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 127 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 127 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1973 TO 1990 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 2566. 14. 39. 95. 474. 2380. 7372. 44000. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1978. 6. 42. 95. 342. 1900. 5340. 98200. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.5837E+02 + 7.8812E-01 LN(FLOW) + 3.2032E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 8.0108E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.371 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 19.36 ( 22 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.623 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.5837E+02 + 7.8812E-01 LN(FLOW) + 3.2032E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 8.0108E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.371 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.5911E+02 + 9.2124E-01 LN(FLOW) + 2.0463E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 8.0664E-02 DECTIME WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS TWICE THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: Salt River at New London, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05508000 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.00 4.20 1.30 0.91 1.60 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.29 0.70 0.17 0.10 0.19 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 2. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 1. 4. 8. 33. 449. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.00 4.20 1.30 0.91 1.60 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 2. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 1. 4. 8. 33. 474. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1.80 3.60 1.20 0.84 1.40 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 1. 3. 8. 29. 341. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 2.4 1 STATION NAME: Salt River at New London, MO STATION NUMBER: 05508000 DRAINAGE AREA: 2480.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Soluble Reactive Phosphorus (measured as Dissolved Orthophosphate) LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19921231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 56 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 44 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1981 TO 1990 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 2242. 17. 55. 120. 644. 3240. 8589. 14100. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1978. 6. 42. 95. 342. 1900. 5340. 98200. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.3415E+02 + 3.5311E-01 LN(FLOW) + 6.9777E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 1.6880E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.524 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 18.81 ( 8 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.016 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.8973E+02 + 4.7811E-01 LN(FLOW) + 5.8413E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 1.4653E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.465 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.8586E+02 + 1.9555E-01 LN(FLOW) + 7.8975E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 1.4419E-01 DECTIME WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS TWICE THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: Salt River at New London, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05508000 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1.50 3.60 0.74 0.55 0.98 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.71 1.90 0.29 0.22 0.39 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 3. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 4. 28. 712. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1.40 3.30 0.71 0.52 0.93 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 2. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 4. 25. 658. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1.50 3.80 0.78 0.55 0.98 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 4. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 4. 29. 930. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.33 1 STATION NAME: Salt River at New London, MO STATION NUMBER: 05508000 DRAINAGE AREA: 2480.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Suspended Sediment LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19921231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 94 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 94 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1979 TO 1992 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1569. 14. 39. 59. 268. 2000. 4908. 14100. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1978. 6. 42. 95. 342. 1900. 5340. 98200. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.2201E+02 + 1.3206E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.6013E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.971 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 19.08 ( 15 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.210 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.2201E+02 + 1.3206E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.6013E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.971 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.0392E+02 + 1.3506E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.5109E-01 DECTIME WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS TWICE THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. WARNING: MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS 100000 UG/L 1 STATION: Salt River at New London, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05508000 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 4800. 11000. 2600. 2100. 3700. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 1400. 3300. 650. 550. 1000. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 18. 80. 176. 356. 818. 1194. 2255. 4543. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 21. 180. 1313. 6803. 18282. 93055. 1203191. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 4600. 10000. 2500. 2000. 3600. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 17. 75. 166. 338. 785. 1151. 2209. 4574. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 20. 169. 1239. 6447. 17497. 91600. 1211314. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 4700. 11000. 2600. 2000. 3700. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 17. 75. 158. 325. 748. 1130. 2191. 4826. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 19. 162. 1259. 6581. 18010. 91412. 1278032. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 1900. 1 STATION NAME: Salt River at New London, MO STATION NUMBER: 05508000 DRAINAGE AREA: 2480.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Chloride LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19921231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 112 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 112 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1973 TO 1990 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 2549. 14. 43. 107. 493. 2530. 7477. 44000. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1978. 6. 42. 95. 342. 1900. 5340. 98200. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.2154E+01 + 5.5834E-01 LN(FLOW) + 1.4499E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 3.2505E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.9592E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 1.3108E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.111 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 24.61 ( 19 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.174 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.2154E+01 + 5.5834E-01 LN(FLOW) + 1.4499E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 3.2505E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.9592E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 1.3108E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.111 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.8327E+01 + 4.0968E-01 LN(FLOW) + 2.5304E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 5.6858E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.4120E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 1.0967E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS TWICE THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: Salt River at New London, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05508000 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 34. 54. 23. 22. 37. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 2. 4. 2. 2. 2. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 8. 12. 17. 23. 28. 37. 44. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 4. 11. 37. 87. 146. 299. 1115. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 34. 55. 23. 22. 38. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4. 8. 12. 17. 23. 28. 37. 45. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 4. 11. 37. 87. 147. 302. 1145. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 35. 57. 24. 21. 36. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4. 7. 11. 17. 24. 29. 41. 55. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 4. 11. 36. 87. 150. 315. 1411. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 34. 1 STATION NAME: Salt River at New London, MO STATION NUMBER: 05508000 DRAINAGE AREA: 2480.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Silica (The values represented here are for SiO2. Values for loads and concentrations have been converted to represent elemental Si. Si = 0.46744 * SiO2 ) LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19921231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 111 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 111 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1973 TO 1990 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 2571. 14. 43. 120. 511. 2580. 7498. 44000. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1978. 6. 42. 95. 342. 1900. 5340. 98200. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 9.0595E+01 + 1.5889E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.7037E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 1.1582E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.3277E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 4.5064E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.335 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 40.16 ( 19 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.003 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 9.0595E+01 + 1.5889E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.7037E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 1.1582E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.3277E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 4.5064E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.335 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 9.1151E+01 + 1.5849E+00 LN(FLOW) - 4.0082E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 8.3949E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.7248E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 4.5192E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: Salt River at New London, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05508000 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 40. 64. 27. 27. 41. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 4. 9. 4. 4. 5. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 5. 6. 8. 10. 11. 13. 14. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 6. 36. 108. 200. 461. 1602. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 39. 62. 27. 26. 40. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 4. 6. 7. 9. 11. 12. 13. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 6. 34. 104. 194. 450. 1650. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 35. 56. 23. 23. 37. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 5. 6. 7. 9. 10. 12. 13. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 6. 33. 94. 172. 381. 1252. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 36.