1 STATION NAME: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN STATION NUMBER: MI 39.4 DRAINAGE AREA: 16200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrogen LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19760101 TO 19961231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 217 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 217 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1979 TO 1996 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 6052. 190. 522. 1310. 2950. 7890. 17000. 52000. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 5963. 141. 374. 1030. 2950. 7830. 15900. 90900. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.9358E+01 + 2.5076E+00 LN(FLOW) - 6.9803E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 3.2152E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.8692E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.1889E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.173 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 43.28 ( 40 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.333 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.9358E+01 + 2.5076E+00 LN(FLOW) - 6.9803E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 3.2152E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.8692E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.1889E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.173 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.9029E+01 + 2.4361E+00 LN(FLOW) - 6.4352E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 1.3783E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.8216E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.1624E-02 DECTIME 1 STATION: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: MI 39.4 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 140. 270. 160. 78. 34. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 7. 17. 10. 4. 2. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 4. 6. 8. 10. 11. 12. 13. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 12. 51. 175. 397. 551. 967. 1882. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 140. 270. 160. 78. 34. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 4. 6. 8. 10. 11. 12. 13. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 12. 51. 175. 397. 551. 970. 1910. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 140. 270. 170. 80. 33. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 4. 6. 8. 10. 11. 12. 14. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 12. 51. 178. 406. 571. 1019. 2138. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 130. 1 STATION NAME: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN STATION NUMBER: MI 39.4 DRAINAGE AREA: 16200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrate + Nitrite LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19760101 TO 19961231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 397 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 393 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1979 TO 1996 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 6874. 190. 546. 1440. 3620. 9165. 18720. 59400. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 5963. 141. 374. 1030. 2950. 7830. 15900. 90900. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.8801E+01 + 4.2646E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.5503E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 1.9846E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 5.7218E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.6191E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.638 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 113.52 ( 76 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.003 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.8824E+01 + 4.2496E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.5427E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 1.9649E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 5.7053E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.6166E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.633 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 4.1519E+01 + 4.5915E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.7922E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 1.2263E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 4.4761E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.8050E-02 DECTIME 1 STATION: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: MI 39.4 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 140. 320. 120. 73. 37. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 10. 29. 11. 6. 3. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 2. 5. 8. 11. 13. 17. 22. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 5. 40. 163. 412. 618. 1200. 1744. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 130. 310. 120. 71. 35. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 2. 5. 7. 11. 13. 17. 21. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 5. 39. 158. 398. 597. 1161. 1688. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 120. 260. 120. 70. 33. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 2. 5. 7. 10. 11. 13. 16. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 6. 41. 157. 358. 505. 888. 1216. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 100. 1 STATION NAME: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN STATION NUMBER: MI 39.4 DRAINAGE AREA: 16200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Ammonia LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19760101 TO 19961231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 439 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 332 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1979 TO 1996 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 6784. 190. 532. 1370. 3700. 9110. 18600. 59400. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 5963. 141. 374. 1030. 2950. 7830. 15900. 90900. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.0742E+02 + 1.0707E+00 LN(FLOW) + 7.0033E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 9.2110E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 1.0512E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.158 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 188.17 ( 84 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.5305E+02 + 1.0300E+00 LN(FLOW) + 6.1136E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 7.7445E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 7.7521E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.009 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.5262E+02 + 1.0289E+00 LN(FLOW) + 7.6210E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 8.8231E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 7.7258E-02 DECTIME 1 STATION: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: MI 39.4 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.90 7.50 1.20 1.00 1.70 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.28 0.86 0.13 0.11 0.17 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 3. 6. 13. 30. 59. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.90 7.10 1.50 1.10 1.60 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 3. 7. 12. 26. 46. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 3.10 8.00 1.40 1.00 1.80 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 3. 7. 13. 29. 53. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 1.8 - 1.9 1 STATION NAME: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN STATION NUMBER: MI 39.4 DRAINAGE AREA: 16200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Phosphorus LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19760101 TO 19961231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 428 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 428 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1979 TO 1996 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 6738. 190. 565. 1385. 3750. 9125. 18610. 52000. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 5963. 141. 374. 1030. 2950. 7830. 15900. 90900. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.8025E+01 + 1.0262E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.1263E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 3.3636E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 1.4130E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.200 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 76.88 ( 82 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.639 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.8025E+01 + 1.0262E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.1263E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 3.3636E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 1.4130E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.200 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.7975E+01 + 1.0374E+00 LN(FLOW) - 2.2583E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 3.3454E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 1.4166E-02 DECTIME 1 STATION: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: MI 39.4 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 4.50 7.70 7.10 2.20 0.84 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.14 0.32 0.28 0.09 0.03 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 2. 6. 13. 18. 26. 82. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 4.50 7.70 7.20 2.20 0.84 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 2. 6. 13. 18. 26. 82. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 4.50 7.60 7.30 2.30 0.84 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 2. 6. 13. 18. 27. 85. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 4.5 1 STATION NAME: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN STATION NUMBER: MI 39.4 DRAINAGE AREA: 16200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Soluble Reactive Phosphorus (measured as Orthophosphate) LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19760101 TO 19961231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 308 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 291 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1979 TO 1996 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 7468. 190. 672. 1708. 4410. 10100. 20410. 59400. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 5963. 141. 374. 1030. 2950. 7830. 15900. 90900. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.6768E+01 + 1.3710E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.0613E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.3536E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 3.0652E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.234 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 108.79 ( 58 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.3916E+01 + 1.3537E+00 LN(FLOW) + 9.2460E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.2538E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.9134E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.182 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.4289E+01 + 1.3441E+00 LN(FLOW) + 6.1692E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.8072E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.9157E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: MI 39.4 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.70 5.70 3.10 1.30 0.60 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.30 0.79 0.39 0.17 0.07 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 3. 8. 12. 24. 60. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.50 5.10 2.90 1.20 0.56 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 3. 7. 11. 21. 54. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.40 4.90 3.00 1.20 0.53 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 3. 7. 10. 21. 55. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 1.9 1 STATION NAME: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN STATION NUMBER: MI 39.4 DRAINAGE AREA: 16200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Suspended Solids LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19760101 TO 19961231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 483 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 483 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1976 TO 1996 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 6456. 141. 387. 1200. 3200. 8580. 18460. 59400. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 5963. 141. 374. 1030. 2950. 7830. 15900. 90900. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 4.0790E+01 + 2.3657E+00 LN(FLOW) - 6.5944E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 4.1373E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 9.1110E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.0963E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.669 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 114.34 ( 93 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.066 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 4.0790E+01 + 2.3657E+00 LN(FLOW) - 6.5944E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 4.1373E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 9.1110E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.0963E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.669 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 4.0446E+01 + 2.2018E+00 LN(FLOW) - 5.7480E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 3.7662E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 9.3719E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 2.0424E-02 DECTIME WARNING: MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS 100000 UG/L 1 STATION: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: MI 39.4 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2600. 3200. 5900. 1300. 170. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 180. 240. 460. 99. 12. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 8. 36. 86. 170. 257. 293. 347. 369. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 124. 642. 3294. 7908. 10397. 21461. 58593. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2700. 3200. 6000. 1300. 180. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 8. 37. 87. 173. 262. 299. 353. 377. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 126. 654. 3358. 8062. 10609. 21936. 61030. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2600. 3200. 5900. 1200. 170. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 9. 36. 87. 171. 258. 293. 343. 359. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4. 128. 642. 3307. 7962. 10418. 21486. 62059. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 2100.